IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Karel Stokkerman » Mon, 29 Jan 1996 04:00:00



[old stuff deleted]

Quote:
> Cant provide that info about English team(s), as the news article  
> had to do with some Italian teams and top 10 teams above (exactly
> as can be seen up there).  I can say that IFFHS (the organization that
> put the listing out) chose PSG to be 1994 club of the year.
> Another person asked for the W3 site.  I dont have that info either.
> Perhaps one can search the internet registery in US or that of Europe
> and see if they are on the net, or someone in Germany get in touch
> with that outfit and post their findings here for us all.  Or just
> search the net  thru one of the web browsers and see if they come up
> with something.

Searching for "iffhs" points you to the rsssf pages (see below in my .sig,
check them out :), probably because I cite them as a reference for that
fabulous archive.

Quote:
> These rankings are just rankings.  I just posted them for fun and
> another one in the endless string of rankings coming out of here
> or there :-)

Indeed.  I consider them completely pointless.  Since my opinion will probably
not carry that much weight on its own, I'll explain why below.  At least
for these rankings, the complete algorithm is known (unlike FIFA's country
ranking, but Stig Oppedal has by now discovered the main contributing
factors I believe :).

The "IFFHS" Club ranking.
------------------------

1991 Rules:

Roughly, the national championships count twice as much as the national
cups.  All other national tournaments (league cups etc) are not counted.

Continental cups roughly count twice as much as national championships.

National championships:  every country has a multiplication factor M; for
1991, this was 5 for Italy, 4 for Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany,
and Spain, 3 for France, Uruguay, Mexico, Netherlands, and quite a few
others, 2 for e.g. Greece, Egypt, Denmark, and Austria (among many others),
1 for Luxembourg and the like.  Every win in the national league gives
a team M points, every draw M/2, every loss 0.  No correction for number
of games is made except in extremal cases.  The second divisions of
England, Germany, Italy and Spain are given M=2.  France was moved into
the category with M=4 for 1994 (there were several less important
changes).

National cup: every country has again a multiplication factor N.  If M=5,
N=20; M=4 then N=18; M=3 then N=12; M=2 then N=7; M=1 then N=3,5.  (No,
there's no logic in this; N/M is far from constant.)  If a team reaches
the 1/8 final in each country, it gets N points; if it needed extra time
or a penalty shoot out, only N/2 (and the loser of that 1/16 final also
get N/2).  The same applies each subsequent round.  I.e., the Italian
cup winner can get maximally 5x20=100 points (if no extra time was needed),
the Dutch cup winner maximally 60, the Luxembourg one maximally 17,5.

Continental cups: in Europe, every win in a European cup competition (no
matter which) counts for 25 points, a draw 12,5, a loss 0.  (This was
changed to 20, 10, and 0 in 1994.)  In South America, these numbers ae
15, 7,5, and 0, respectively (because clubs can enter several tournaments).
Stuff like the European Super Cup, the Copa Conmebol, etc., is all counted
and the same way as the Champions Cup or the Copa Libertadores.  For all
other continents, wins give 8, draws 4 points, with the exception of the
Caribbean qualifying competition for the Concacaf Cup (4 and 2).

I'm sure a lot of thinking went into this construction.  There are some
obvious flaws, such as the N/M ratio, the lack of consideration of whom
a team actually is winning against, etc. etc.

The maximal possible score is something like 500 points.  The top-10
from 1991 to 1994:

     1991
 1.Roma (Italy)                  347,5
 2.Crvena zvezda (Yugoslavia)    344,5
 3.Olympique Marseille (France)  299,5
 4.Sampdoria (Italy)             287,5
 5.Manchester United (England)   283,0
 6.Barcelona (Spain)             278,5
 7.Torino (Italy)                272,5
 8.Werder Bremen (Germany)       261,0
 9.Atletico Madrid (Spain)       255,5
10.Tottenham Hotspur (England)   254,5

Non-Europe-non-SA teams in top-100:
74.America (Mexico)              124,5
82.Puebla (Mexico)               116,5
83.Monterrey (Mexico)            115,5
91.Power Dynamos (Zambia)        106,5
100.Univ. Guadalajara (Mexico)   103,5

     1992
 1.Ajax (Netherlands)            331,0
 2.Milan (Italy)                 330,0
 3.Real Madrid (Spain)           323,0
 4.Rangers (Scotland)            289,0
 5.Atletico Madrid (Spain)       286,5
 6.Juventus (Italy)              277,5
 7.Colo Colo (Chile)             268,5
 8.Torino (Italy)                265,0
 9.Benfica (Portugal)            264.5
10.Sparta Praha (Czechoslovakia) 260,0

Non-Europe-non-SA teams in top-100:
95.America (Mexico)              107,0

     1993
 1.Juventus (Italy)              372,7
 2.Milan (Italy)                 367,5
 3.Barcelona (Spain)             319,0
 4.Sao Paulo (Brazil)            310,0
 5.Parma (Italy)                 305,0
 6.Spartak Moskva (Russia)       300,0
 7.Real Madrid (Spain)           296,5
 8.Internazionale (Italy)        285,0
 9.Paris Saint-Germain (France)  264,5
10.Flamengo (Brazil)             263,5

Non-Europe-non-SA teams in top-100:
64.Al Ahly (Egypt)               141,0
90.Paramatta Melita (Australia)  109,5
93.Verdy Kawasaki (Japan)        108,5
95.Leon (Mexico)                 106,0

     1994
 1.Paris Saint-Germain (France)  334,0
 2.Parma (Italy)                 332,5
 3.Milan (Italy)                 310,0
 4.Barcelona (Spain)             296,5
 5.Sao Paulo (Brazil)            284,0
 6.Porto (Portugal)              262,0
 7.Juventus (Italy)              257,5
 8.Manchester United (England)   246,0
 9.Lazio (Italy)                 245,0
10.Velez Sarsfield (Argentina)   243,5

Non-Europe-non-SA teams in top-100:
82.Esperance Sportif (Tunisia)   118,0

I don't have the full 1995 table yet, but Hamid Dastkar already posted
the top-10:

     1995
 1.Milan (Italy)
 2.Juventus (Italy)
 3.Ajax (Netherlands)
 4.Gremio (Brazil)
 5.Parma (Italy)
 6.Paris Saint-Germain (France)
 7.Deportivo La Coruna (Spain)
 8.River Plate (Argentina)
 9.Bayern Munchen (Germany)
10.Borussia Dortmund (Germany)

What can we conclude from all this:

 1) Southern American clubs are being severely ***ed in this system;
 2) teams from outside Europe and SA hardly enter the top-100;
 3) going through a complete calendar year unbeaten (except for a
    sudden death extra time in the national cup) is not enough to claim
    first place;
 4) UEFA Cup is more important than Champions Cup (more rounds; at least
    for the earlier years of this system);
 5) the fact that it sucks is probably no fault of the algorithm itself
    but inherent to any attempt to list clubs like this; it might be fun
    to compare the list with the actual trophies that teams won that year
    but I'm not going to bother.

Just for the hell of it, the development of some clubs over the years:

                            1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
Ajax                          11    1   14   13    3
Barcelona                      6   12    3    4
Bayern Munchen                25  165   56   56    9
Benfica                       24    9   17   14
Boca Juniors                  15   44   77   32
Feyenoord                     31   22   55   25
Gremio                       101 >100  128   32    4
Juventus                      27    6    1    7    2
Liverpool                     23   25  115   50
Manchester United              5   70   19    8
Milan                         32    2    2    3    1
Nacional (Montevideo)         28   66   49  119
Olimpia Asuncion              29   14   26   17
Paris Saint-Germain         >180   32    9    1    6
Parma                         60   15    5    2    5
Penarol                       90  169   59   40
Porto                         20   18   21    6
PSV                           45   41  110  144
Real Madrid                   15    3    7   21
River Plate                   18   49   43   41    8
Sao Paulo                    160   11    4    5
Steaua Bucuresti              64   55   57   73

Sao Paulo were probably the strongest club side of the globe for
two entire years, and struggled to get into the top-5.  Ajax won
the ranking in a year (1992) they didn't even win the national title,
just did well in the UEFA Cup against sides like Genoa and Osasuna.

But they didn't win it in 1995, a year in which their only defeat was
after sudden death extra time in the pretty meaningless Dutch cup (which
gave Feyenoord consistent top-50 ratings, which is the real joke of
the rankings).

Says it all, really.

Cheers,
Karel
--
-- Karel Stokkermans, RISC-Linz, Schloss Hagenberg, Austria, Europa

          Visit the RSSSF Archive of Football Results!
http://SportToday.org/:70/0h/misc-info/rsssf/archive.html

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Ariel Mazzarel » Tue, 30 Jan 1996 04:00:00

Quote:

>[thorough analysis]

Congratulations, you win! Unfortunately the attempt to retrive a .jpg of Sepp
produced a hard drive failure, but I hope that the alternate prize is to your
satisfaction.

Ariel

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Ariel Mazzarel » Tue, 30 Jan 1996 04:00:00

begin 644 12-94.jpg
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"_]FU
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end

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Gustaaf Van Moors » Wed, 31 Jan 1996 04:00:00

:Congratulations, you win! Unfortunately the attempt to retrive a .jpg of Sepp
:produced a hard drive failure, but I hope that the alternate prize is to your
:satisfaction.

Disgraceful! On a respectable newsgroup like r.s.s. Now, could you try to
post a .jpg of Joao?

Gustaaf

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Ariel Mazzarel » Thu, 01 Feb 1996 04:00:00

Quote:

>Now, if I were to design my own ranking algorithm, detail it here, and
>list the first 100 or so clubs of the world, what would that earn me?
>I'd like to be sure it's worth the trouble.

Would you be interested in a .jpg of the first nine*** Bessel functions?

Ariel

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Karel Stokkerma » Thu, 01 Feb 1996 04:00:00


Quote:


> >[thorough analysis]

> Congratulations, you win! Unfortunately the attempt to retrive a .jpg of Sepp
> produced a hard drive failure, but I hope that the alternate prize is to your
> satisfaction.

Muchissimas gracias, con~o.

Now, if I were to design my own ranking algorithm, detail it here, and
list the first 100 or so clubs of the world, what would that earn me?

I'd like to be sure it's worth the trouble.

Karel
--
-- Karel Stokkermans, RISC-Linz, Schloss Hagenberg, Austria, Europa

  -- url: http://info.risc.uni-linz.ac.at:70/1/people/kstokker
   -- rsssf: http://info.risc.uni-linz.ac.at:70/0h/misc-info/rsssf/nersssf.html
"O hoe vergeefs / des doelmans hand / zich strekte naar de bal    [  21-6-88,  ]
 die 'een minuut / voor tijd de Duitse / doellijn kruiste..."     [ J. Deelder ]

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Huw Morr » Sat, 03 Feb 1996 04:00:00

Quote:

> Now, if I were to design my own ranking algorithm, detail it here, and
> list the first 100 or so clubs of the world, what would that earn me?

It seems to me there is no way of producing a world club listing, because
there are not enough competitive matches between the federations. (I only
know of the Toyota Cup and the match between the CONCACAF and CONMEBOL
champions) This is obviously far too small a sample size to produce anything
meaningful!

Just looking at a European ranking, just how does one allow for the fact
that Ajax are clearly no.1, despite the fact that they play in a weaker
league than Milan?

Huw

--
"I want to be young and wild.  Then  

 And then I want to be old and annoy  
 people by pretending I'm deaf."              -= BOING BOING!! =-

 
 
 

IFFHS rankings [LONG] (was Re: World Club rankings (info))

Post by Karel Stokkerma » Wed, 07 Feb 1996 04:00:00


Quote:


> > Now, if I were to design my own ranking algorithm, detail it here, and
> > list the first 100 or so clubs of the world, what would that earn me?

> It seems to me there is no way of producing a world club listing, because
> there are not enough competitive matches between the federations. (I only
> know of the Toyota Cup and the match between the CONCACAF and CONMEBOL
> champions) This is obviously far too small a sample size to produce anything
> meaningful!

Of course.  The only thing one could hope for is a continental ranking, and
even that's doomed to failure, because the set of matches between the top
teams of different countries is too small, in spite of the champions league.

The same holds for a world ranking of national teams, imho (continental
rankings over say two or five years could be made with perfect validity).

Quote:
> Just looking at a European ranking, just how does one allow for the fact
> that Ajax are clearly no.1, despite the fact that they play in a weaker
> league than Milan?

My algorithm was going to use my own feeling about relative strenghts as
the decisive blackbox.  This would easily solve this problem, but it might
warrant certain teams higher places than others might think appropriate,
FC Den Bosch coming to mind immediately.

Anyway, Ariel's promised prize isn't likely to induce me to carry this out.

Some European football magazines ("ESM") use the UEFA coefficients to determine
the strength of a league.  It's as good an approximation as any, but clearly
not really valid; the European performances of clubs four or five years ago
are no real indication for the current strength of a league.  Case in point:
the Dutch league is currently much stronger than the Belgian league; five
years ago, this was different.  This results in the UEFA coefficients being
roughly equal; yet Ajax's (and PSV's) record in the league warrants more
points than if Anderlecht or Brugge would have comparable records in Belgium.

Anyway, who cares, really.  What counts is trophies, not points on some list.

Cheers,
Karel
--
-- Karel Stokkermans, RISC-Linz, Schloss Hagenberg, Austria, Europa

  -- url: http://info.risc.uni-linz.ac.at:70/1/people/kstokker
   -- rsssf: http://info.risc.uni-linz.ac.at:70/0h/misc-info/rsssf/nersssf.html
"O hoe vergeefs / des doelmans hand / zich strekte naar de bal    [  21-6-88,  ]
 die 'een minuut / voor tijd de Duitse / doellijn kruiste..."     [ J. Deelder ]