> I knew this game rang a chilling bell somehow. Well done India. Quite
> spectacular recovery, proving that the Aussies are still fragile when
> they're under the cosh.
If you are saying anyone is susceptible to pressure, then I agree with that
statement, as its pretty much a non-statement.
But, I don't think that you can draw any conclusions about the Aussies
fragility based upon this one Test. In this Test they were beaten, largely
by one man, who played arguabley the greatest Test innings in recent
history -- ably supported by a young bowler, and a veteran bat
lost form. Australia didn't lose this game in some sense -- they were
beaten by someone who played better than them..
Did they make some tactical errors? Yes they did. Were they guilty of
some over-confidence, in believing that India was a beaten side with
12 wickets still to get? Almost surely. Did they have a bad last
session, when some resolution (not 'resoluteness':-) could have seen
them through? Yes, they did. But, thats only being human..
Now if Australia fall over like ninepins in Chennai and lose abjectly then
I suppose you could begin to draw that conclusion. My money is on
Australia to come out fighting like the champions they are. If I were to
bet right now, I'd put the odds something like:
Aus victory: 45%
Ind victory: 35%
(Much better than the 50-25-25 odds that I gave at the start of Test 2,
Any if India go in thinking they are favorites, they'd better think again.
Sadly, I think the Indian team might think they are favorites now, but
you can't hope that lightning strikes twice. Everyone needs to buckle
down and play...
R. Bharat Rao
Data Mining, Siemens Corporate Research, Princeton, NJ
"Never argue with an idiot. They drag you down to their
level and beat you with experience."