India's chances for the Semi's

India's chances for the Semi's

Post by Ravishankar » Wed, 05 Mar 2003 18:19:26


If India beat Kenya and lose its other matches, it will still be difficult
not to make the Semis.

Check this spreadsheet

http://www.geocities.com/kravijp/ss.xls

I have indicated one of the worst scenarios for India (tie on points
with Eng and NZ, NRR will kick in). There are 2 ways this can happen (Aus
win all, Eng lose to NZ OR Eng win all).

In most other cases, India will make it to the Semi-finals.

Download the table to change the data and check your own scenarios!

Starting assumptions:
All Group A beat Kenya (not a real requirement though)
No tie / rain for Super Six matches and the (Zim / Pak) match

 
 
 

India's chances for the Semi's

Post by AKan » Wed, 05 Mar 2003 18:24:51

Quote:

> If India beat Kenya and lose its other matches, it will still be difficult
> not to make the Semis.

> Check this spreadsheet

> http://www.geocities.com/kravijp/ss.xls

> I have indicated one of the worst scenarios for India (tie on points
> with Eng and NZ, NRR will kick in). There are 2 ways this can happen (Aus
> win all, Eng lose to NZ OR Eng win all).

> In most other cases, India will make it to the Semi-finals.

> Download the table to change the data and check your own scenarios!

> Starting assumptions:
> All Group A beat Kenya (not a real requirement though)
> No tie / rain for Super Six matches and the (Zim / Pak) match

Point is to win the world cup. That road goes through Australia. Running
around other teams is of no interest to me at least.

I mean of course you can do all the analysis you like. Keep it simple.
Win one match at a time. This team has the talent to do it. Maybe they
lack a genuine allrounder but that is all.

 
 
 

India's chances for the Semi's

Post by Revliskc » Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:39:23


Quote:

> > If India beat Kenya and lose its other matches, it will still be difficult
> > not to make the Semis.

> > Check this spreadsheet

> > http://www.geocities.com/kravijp/ss.xls

> > I have indicated one of the worst scenarios for India (tie on points
> > with Eng and NZ, NRR will kick in). There are 2 ways this can happen (Aus
> > win all, Eng lose to NZ OR Eng win all).

> > In most other cases, India will make it to the Semi-finals.

> > Download the table to change the data and check your own scenarios!

> > Starting assumptions:
> > All Group A beat Kenya (not a real requirement though)
> > No tie / rain for Super Six matches and the (Zim / Pak) match

> Point is to win the world cup. That road goes through Australia. Running

Why? It is possible that Australia will lose in the semi-final. There have been
many examples in the past of raging hot favourites being beaten. Take West
Indies in 83, for example.

I am not of the opinion that Australia is unbeatable.

 
 
 

India's chances for the Semi's

Post by John P Darc » Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:18:53

Quote:

> If India beat Kenya and lose its other matches, it will still be difficult
> not to make the Semis.
...
> Starting assumptions:
> All Group A beat Kenya (not a real requirement though)
> No tie / rain for Super Six matches and the (Zim / Pak) match

Useful little spreadsheet.  Well done.

However, as you admit yourself (with your Starting Assumptions), there
is a scenario which would eliminate India - lose to SLK and NZL, and
also be washed out against KEN.  This would see Kenya advance to the
semi-finals.

Using the same table, a scenario in which Australia lose all three,
India win all three, and England win two and tie/washout against SLK,
would eliminate AUS.

--

Cheers

John

What sort of meat do you store in
an internet refrigerator?  Spam.

 
 
 

India's chances for the Semi's

Post by AKan » Thu, 06 Mar 2003 04:37:45

Quote:

> Why? It is possible that Australia will lose in the semi-final. There have been
> many examples in the past of raging hot favourites being beaten. Take West
> Indies in 83, for example.

> I am not of the opinion that Australia is unbeatable.

Yes but Windies lost in finals. Road went through WI.