Where do you all see it?
Having digested much previous footage, weighed up the matchup past and
present, and having crunched the numbers (had a wee think ;) ) .... I am
beginning to soften to Murray's chances. Murray just seems to be able to get
under the Djokovic skin.....thanks quite probably to the fact that his
strengths mirror those of Djokovic pretty well - strong and reliable from
both wings, great fitness and mobility, great defence and great return of
serve. When it becomes a bit more junky and mixed up, Murray starts to shine
a bit brighter than his contemporary.
I am looking forward to seeing how Murray approaches this match. The US Open
match was a bit scrappy.....and certainly if Murray can invovle Djoke in
this type of match, he will have more than his fair share of chances. But I
can't help feeling that this is his time to throw down the gauntlet.....a
statement match from Murray, where he pulls it all together and attempts to
win completely on his own terms. We saw that Stan had the power to hit
through Nole on this court, and Murray certainly now is more than capable of
doing similar.....but with the depth of game to back it up.
I still have Nole as the favourite going into this match, but the pressure
has to be all with him. Last year was less successful than he would have
hoped, and he is in danger of being eclipsed by his oncoming foe. Failure to
defend here would leave him in the uncomfortable position of being the only
one of the top guys without a slam title. I see it as quite important for
Djokovic to enter the match at a high level - something he has not been
traditionally great at. If he can take the first set, then the job for
Murray becomes extremely difficult. For all the renewed maturity, Murray
still has brittle patches....and these are sure to rear their head if he
were to find himself a set down with a 5-setter in his legs.
In sum then, the first set could be crucial. If Murray takes it, then it is
game on. If Djoke takes it, I don't see Murray pulling back through that to
victory. Expect an explosive start!
Basically, I haven't got an effing clue who takes this. :)
The market odds are:
Djokovic - 1.57
Murray - 2.74
Djokovic 3-0 - 3.85
Djokovic 3-1 - 4.20
Djokovic 3-2 - 6.40
Murray 3-0 - 11.50
Murray 3-1 - 6.80
Murray 3-2 -7.40