Roger Federer 2011 Grand Slam Odds: don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all

Roger Federer 2011 Grand Slam Odds: don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all

Post by ocea » Sun, 19 Sep 2010 03:31:29


Shane Lambert - 14 Sep 2010
The ATP Tour and Grand Slams are moving into the post-Federer age.

Roger Federer backers have to be the slowest learners on the planet as
the Swiss Maestro is still taking in bets to win Grand Slams in 2011.
Here are Federer's odds for the Grand Slam markets next year, all to
win outright and in each market he is the second favorite behind
Rafael Nadal:

?Australian Open +300 (3/1) SkyBet
?French Open +600 (6/1) BoyleSports
?Wimbledon +400 (4/1) Totesport
?US Open +300 (3/1) Stan James
The sun-set on Federer at the 2009 US Open when Juan Martin Del Potro
took down his first and only Grand Slam title.  That was the first
major hint of a decline in Grand Slam results for Federer but then a
stroke of luck went the Swiss Maestro's way.

The talent on tour took a dip as Del Potro suffered an injury that
prevented him from playing his best tennis.  With Nadal also being at
less than 100% back in January, a window re-opened for Federer to take
down one last Slam and that was what the 2010 Australian Open title
was.

But don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all.  He's in his late
20's, his results are declining, and he can't be expected to keep
outplaying his opponents that are still in their early to mid-20s.

He won't win anymore Slams as there are now too many players in his
way that are capable of taking him out and it's just a matter of time
before Federer bumps into a fourth round match that he won't win.

With Federer falling in the quarters of the French Open, in the
quarters of Wimbledon, and in the semis of the US Open, Grand Slams
are now in the post-Federer era and when the Aussie rolls around,
Federer will fail to defend his 2000 ranking points and he'll drift
out to 5th or worse on tour.

The future of tennis is all about Rafael Nadal vs his own injuries.
If he were to remain 100% for the next 16 Slams then he could threaten
Federer's all-time Slam titles total.  If he misses Slams due to
injury or plays Slams at less than 100%, then his chances of catching
Federer will go down and players like Juan Martin Del Potro, Novak
Djokovic, and Andy Murray will have a better chance.

Del Potro, if 100%, more than anyone else on tour is the player that
could steal a few Grand Slam titles away from a healthy Nadal,
especially on the hard court surface, but the injury bug is a bigger
question mark on Del Potro than it is on Nadal as Rafa has been at
100% for several months now.

For the next year of Slams, you should be backing either Rafa or Del
Potro.  Federer backers may be in denial right now but his odds have
to be considered the worst value in tennis.

Register with Victor Chandler to back Nadal to win the 2011 Australian
Open at +250.

http://www.crunchsports.com/category/Tennis/Roger-Federer-2011-Grand-...

 
 
 

Roger Federer 2011 Grand Slam Odds: don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all

Post by ocea » Sun, 19 Sep 2010 03:31:35

Shane Lambert - 14 Sep 2010
The ATP Tour and Grand Slams are moving into the post-Federer age.

Roger Federer backers have to be the slowest learners on the planet as
the Swiss Maestro is still taking in bets to win Grand Slams in 2011.
Here are Federer's odds for the Grand Slam markets next year, all to
win outright and in each market he is the second favorite behind
Rafael Nadal:

?Australian Open +300 (3/1) SkyBet
?French Open +600 (6/1) BoyleSports
?Wimbledon +400 (4/1) Totesport
?US Open +300 (3/1) Stan James
The sun-set on Federer at the 2009 US Open when Juan Martin Del Potro
took down his first and only Grand Slam title.  That was the first
major hint of a decline in Grand Slam results for Federer but then a
stroke of luck went the Swiss Maestro's way.

The talent on tour took a dip as Del Potro suffered an injury that
prevented him from playing his best tennis.  With Nadal also being at
less than 100% back in January, a window re-opened for Federer to take
down one last Slam and that was what the 2010 Australian Open title
was.

But don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all.  He's in his late
20's, his results are declining, and he can't be expected to keep
outplaying his opponents that are still in their early to mid-20s.

He won't win anymore Slams as there are now too many players in his
way that are capable of taking him out and it's just a matter of time
before Federer bumps into a fourth round match that he won't win.

With Federer falling in the quarters of the French Open, in the
quarters of Wimbledon, and in the semis of the US Open, Grand Slams
are now in the post-Federer era and when the Aussie rolls around,
Federer will fail to defend his 2000 ranking points and he'll drift
out to 5th or worse on tour.

The future of tennis is all about Rafael Nadal vs his own injuries.
If he were to remain 100% for the next 16 Slams then he could threaten
Federer's all-time Slam titles total.  If he misses Slams due to
injury or plays Slams at less than 100%, then his chances of catching
Federer will go down and players like Juan Martin Del Potro, Novak
Djokovic, and Andy Murray will have a better chance.

Del Potro, if 100%, more than anyone else on tour is the player that
could steal a few Grand Slam titles away from a healthy Nadal,
especially on the hard court surface, but the injury bug is a bigger
question mark on Del Potro than it is on Nadal as Rafa has been at
100% for several months now.

For the next year of Slams, you should be backing either Rafa or Del
Potro.  Federer backers may be in denial right now but his odds have
to be considered the worst value in tennis.

Register with Victor Chandler to back Nadal to win the 2011 Australian
Open at +250.

http://www.crunchsports.com/category/Tennis/Roger-Federer-2011-Grand-...

 
 
 

Roger Federer 2011 Grand Slam Odds: don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all

Post by ocea » Sun, 19 Sep 2010 03:34:06

ouch.

 
 
 

Roger Federer 2011 Grand Slam Odds: don't back Federer to win anymore Slams at all

Post by drew » Sun, 19 Sep 2010 04:52:51


Quote:
> Shane Lambert - 14 Sep 2010
> The ATP Tour and Grand Slams are moving into the post-Federer age.

> Roger Federer backers have to be the slowest learners on the planet as
> the Swiss Maestro is still taking in bets to win Grand Slams in 2011.
> Here are Federer's odds for the Grand Slam markets next year, all to
> win outright and in each market he is the second favorite behind
> Rafael Nadal:

Many (including me) thought Federer did not have a great chance to win
the AO this year and he did win it.

If ever there was a sure bet gone wrong it was the FO of 2009 and that
was Nadal (the lock bet of 2009)  so it is fine for experts to bury
Federer but when
you look at the other guys besides Nadal, he doesn't look like a bad
bet at all.

Would you bet Djokovic over Federer at the FO for the outright on the
strength of his USO showing?  Would you pick Murray? How about
Roddick?
Del Potro's coming off wrist surgery and hasn't played for a long
time.  Wanna take a shot at him?

My issue with any of these outright bets is that they are such poor
value when taken so far in advance.  It's not as if Nadal is going to
get hotter than
he is so that his odds will come down.  He's got only two ways to
go....sideways or down (formwise).

In general I agree with the article but when he says that there are
"too many players in his way that are capable of taking him out" I
think you'd have to say that if too many can take Federer out then
even more are capable of taking the rest of the field out.

This guy is probably a Federer backer.  We all know this game.