You Put Your Right Poll In, You Take Your Right Poll Out

You Put Your Right Poll In, You Take Your Right Poll Out

Post by Jeffrey Dav » Wed, 20 Oct 2004 01:35:08

Kerry back from the dead.

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=WS0M2PRPFEUSMCRBA...

I simply can't believe people change their mind that much. Regardless
of Zogby's previous record, I don't believe that any poll can reliably
get to within 5% of the final. Zogby has his record of getting it to
within some micrometer of the 1996 and 2000 elections, but someone, by
definition, would be the closest and Zogby's record is (by my
supposition) simply a dice throe. Obviously, if people are puking on
pollster's shoes whenever a candidate is mentioned the polling group
might be on to something to say that the election isn't going to be
close. Beyond that, polling is simply more theater.