Missing out on a run of players at a position is the best reason I
have seen fof moving to the middle of the draft. I still don't know
if I would drop that far. I guess it all comes down to who you covet.
Assuming I want James, Faulk, S. Davis, Taylor, or George, then the
lowest I can drop to is 5. I do believe Warner or Manning will be
taken in the first half of the round, but I DO NOT want to be the one
taking oneof them...
>I don't think it's quite the no brainer you make it to be, but there's no
>question who I'd take 1st overall.
>Still, in a 12 team performance league, I think I'd rather be drafting out of
>the 5-6-7 slot, the middle of the rounds. My reasoning is that by staying
>towards the middle of the whip, there won't be any long runs of players in
>between your picks. You can still grab a top tier RB, and yet you're still in a
>position to grab a top 5 QB, or a good second tier RB with your second pick,
>whereas most of that is gone by the time you would get to the 24th overall
>pick, if you're drafting out of the 1st slot. Later in the draft, as people
>scramble to fill out starting positions, start grabbing kickers, etc., if a run
>begins just after your pick, you could be looking at a drop of two or three
>tiers of players before you have a chance to get in on the action.
>To that same end, picks being 10-14 slots apart allows you to better attempt to
>*control* player runs, sometimes using a little propoganda to help your cause
>(tossing in comments like, "it's about time to start taking kickers/TE's/D's"
>or things to that effect).
>Some years, the dropoff after the top 2 or 3 guys is so great that you really
>want to be at the top, but this year has a number of guys arguably occupying
>the top 6 or 7 slots (RB's James, Faulk, Taylor, Davis & Davis, E. Smith, QB's
>Manning and Warner, Favre, even WR's Harrison, Moss or Robinson, although I
>wouldn't favor taking a WR that early, some people may), that I don't see the
>dropoff in the top few picks worth sacrificing the "whip position", or the
>dropoff in the talent available just in the second round.
>But that of course is just my humble opinion.