> POssible Gold medals for USA:
> 1)400IM....but Dolan has a hard time going with the Finnish swimmer who is the
> world record holder in the 200IM and world record holder in short course
Dolan beat Sievenin easily in Rome. This one looks good for a
US gold, and maybe a bronze, with Eric Namesnick
> 2) 200 backstroke......I think a time of 1.58.1 or lower will be needed to win
> this event...remember SELKOV from Russia is hot at the moment in both
> backstroke events
Don't think the US is counting on this one, but Tripp Schwenk
> 3) 100 Back.....USA has the WR holder....
Those of us in ***ia are hoping Jeff Rouse can hold on to
win the only title to allude him. He is Mr. Constistency AND
> 4) 4x 100 Free Relay..the USA is the world record holder in this event
Should be a shoo-in. World Record should fall again.
> 5) 4 x 100 Medley Relay....DITTO and they have a lot of depth here
Never lost this one either. Russians do have a lot of depth,
but home crowd and Rouse's backstroke should lead to a world
record. We need a ***roker to really step us in Indy to
> 6) 400 free...depends on whether Germany's VAN ALMSICK is at peak form..if she
> is she could swim a 4.06 which should be enough for her to win the gold...
I think Franzi is head and shoulders above the world here.
Janet Evans, Brooke Bennett, Cristina Teuscher, OR Trina
Jackson could medal.
> 7) 800 free..this could be the tough one....
It's Evans/Bennett vs. Hayley Lewis. Rematch of Rome '94.
> 8) 4 x 200 Free relay..they should win this comfortably unless Germany
> surprises them...
China (7:57 in Rome) is the wild card
> possible surprises:
> 1)4 x 100 free relay for girls.....let's see if the Chinese can be beaten here
I wouldn't call this an upset if China's not doped. If they
are, it's a sure fire silver
> 2)100 free...the duo of FOX and HALL have to swim a 49.1 or lower to have any
> chance of upsetting POPOV and holding off the fast improving Brazillian duo.
These guys, along with Joe Hudepohl and Jon Olsen have been
chasing Popov for years. Maybe the home crowd can pull them
> 3) 50m Men Free....Popov doesn't look so *** in this event and he has a
> tendency to get out of the blocks slow sometimes..if the Americans or the
> Brazillians can catch him off guard..they might just pip him for it....need a
> 22.1 or better to win this event..maybe even under 22 seconds
Fox looks like a good bet here, and so does Hall.
> 4) ANITA NALL in the ***stoke...could be a bit hard considering the Aussie
> girls are there..and don't forget SOUTH AFRICA's penelope..can't remember her
Forget it. This is Riley vs. Penelope Heyns, even if China is
Here are events I'm really surprised aren't included:
200 free: It's a real long shot, but if there's a slow heat
(unlikely), Hudepohl could pull it out.
200 IM: Who knows what Dolan will do here, if he dropped 3
secs. in '95.
4x200 FR: Historically our weakest event, but we should have
been ranked 1st last year. Losing Chad Carvin is a big hit.
50 free: What about Amy Van***n? She's dominated this race
in '95. The only chance of her losing is if China's doped.
She'll go sub-25 for sure.
100 free: If China's clean, this is between Thompson and Van
Almsick. I'd pick Franzi, but Jenny could pull the upset.
200 IM: Allison Wagener swam through '95. Only a doped Lu Bin
beat her in '94. I think she's the favorite here.
400 IM: see 200 IM but change "doped Lu Bin" to "probably doped
4x100 MR: It's unlikely this year, considering the Aussies
depth, but if Amanda Beard can lower her time to the mid to low
1:08's, then it's possible. Then again- China could be doped.
In all likelihood, some of these races WILL fall the US's way,
and some of them WON'T. I think the US is looking at around
10-11 golds in Hotlanta.